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Saturday, November 10, 2007

Smitty's Week 10 Picks

9-5 last week, with one game picked exactly perfect (TB 17-10 over ARZ) I'll take it.

Here's my take on this weeks games.

Denver Broncos (3-5) vs Kansas City Cheifs (4-4)
-Both teams coming off dissapointing losses to the NFC North, both need to bounce back quick if they want any sort of chance at winning the wide-open AFC West. The Broncos looked completely lost last week, while the Chiefs were in it until the 4th. Without Cutler the Bronc's don't stand a chance in Arrowhead.
Pick: Chiefs 24-21

Buffalo Bills (4-4) vs Miami Dolphins (0-8)
-Miami officially has nothing left to play for, while the Bills are battling for a Wild Card spot despite bad losses and injuries. Lee Evans and Marshawn Lyncch will prove to be too much for an injury and talent depleated Dolphins Defense. And with the #1 overall selection in the 2008 NFL Draft the Dolphins select....
Pick: Bills 21-10

Minnesota Vikings (3-5) vs Green Bay Packers (7-1)
-Adrian Peterson is the best Running Back in football right now, no questions asked. But the vikings also have the most pathetic Quarterback situation in the NFL, no questions asked. Combine those two factors and add in what could be the worst pass defense in the game and you have the 3-5 Vikings. The Packers are on a roll and should win this game if they can contain Peterson. Favre makes the distance.
Pick: Pack 31-17

Cleveland Browns (5-3) vs Pittsburgh Steelers (6-2)
-For the first time in a long time this rivalry game will actually matter. Both teams have solid all around offenses but the difference will be made on the other side of the ball in this one. James Harrison is coming off of one the single greatest individual games in the last 20 years, and don't expect him to slow down. The steel curtain is looking scary.
Pick: Steelers 31-27

St. Louis Rams (0-8) vs New Orleans Saints (4-4)
-Ok, so I've made Blowout Alerts every week and as of now, the team I have picked to win has lost, badly. But I am confident this week that N.O. will win this game by at least 24 points. St. Louis is decimated by injuries and they were bad before those injuries took plaec. Reggie Bush is having a tremendous year and should run wild this week.
Pick: Saints 35-10

Jacksonville Jaguars (5-3) vs Tennessee Titans (6-2)
-Big game in the South. If Jacksonville loses this game they are on the really damaging their playoff chances, whereas if they win they are very much in Wild Card contention. Tennessee would love to bury the Jags and keep their eyes on the playoffs. Look for Vince Young to struggle early, but for LenDale White to continue his hot streak. Quinn Gray scares me.
Pick: Titans 17-13

Philadelphia Eagles (3-5) vs Washington Redskins (5-3)
-Turmoil is the word of the season in Philly. After being smashed by Dallas on Monday Night Football they have to face another very difficult division opponent on the road, on short rest. Doesn't look to good for Donovan's crew. If the Redskisn contain Brian Westbrook they should be just fine.
Pick: Skins 24-13

Atlanta Falcons (2-6) vs Carolina Panthers (4-4)
-Congratulations Atlanta, you finally won another game. Don't get used to it though, the Panthers are way better than you. John Abraham will have a solid day off the edge, but DeAngelo Williams and DeShaun Foster will prove too much for the weak Atlanta rush defense.
Pick: Panthers 23-13

Cincinnati Bengals (2-6) vs Baltimore Ravens (4-4)
-Two major disappointments so far this season, Cincy and Baltimore square off in a deciding game for the Ravens. Their playoff chances already slim, Baltimore needs a win this week to even be considered a minor player in the Wild Card chase. Cincy is just bad, their defense is terrible, but this week they should be able to survive because it appears that Steve McNair has forgotten how to throw the ball down field, and that the Ravens defense has forgotten how to stop the pass. Houshmanzadeh has a huge day with the abcense of Ocho Cinco.
Pick: Cincy 31-24

Chicago Bears (3-5) vs Oakland Raiders (2-6)
-Bears Win. I hate writing about how bad the Raiders are.
Pick: Bears 30-7

Detroit Lions (6-2) vs Arizona Cardinals (3-5)
-Without Matt Leinart, it seems that the Cardinals are lost. It doesn't get any easier, the Lions are coming to town riding a 3 game winning streak. If the Lions can keep thier balanced attack going against a porous Card's D, then they should be all good. Arizona has been turnover prone and the Lions are tops in the league in takeaways. Could God's team go to 7-2? Anything's possible.
Pick: Lions 28-14

Dallas Cowboys (7-1) vs New York Giants (6-2)
-Should be a dandy. The first game between these two was exciting enough and that was without Brandon Jacobs. The biggest factor in this game will be the Giants Pass Rush. If they can get consistent pressure on Tony Romo then they will be able ot force enough mistakes to win the game. If not, Romo will pick them apart down the field with his big weapons. I'm on the G-Men bandwagon.
Pick: New York "Football" Giants 32-30

Sunday Night Game
Indianapolis Colts (7-1) vs San Diego Chargers (4-4)
-Both teams lost tough games last week, so this one will coem down to determination. The Colts have looked like the best team in football several times this year, while the Chargers look to be the most disorganized more often then not. If Philip Rivers doesn't show up the Chargers don't have a prayer.
Pick: Colts 33-21

Monday Night Game
San Francisco 49'ers (2-6) vs Seattle Seahawks (4-4)
-Could it get any worse than last weeks? Well if it can this will be the week. The Niners lost to ATLANTA last week (the all caps is because I would scream that if i could), while the Seahawks came out on the wrong side of a shootout again. The Hawks are a mcuh better team by all accounts and should make this one disinteresting from the start.
Pick: Seahawks 30-17

Smitty's Season Record: 28-12

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